Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +27 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -2.8 (+29.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-40.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -0.5 (+27.5) | 151.7 (-38.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -1.2 (+28.2) | 154.2 (-41.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -1.2 (+28.2) | 155.3 (-42.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -1.5 (+28.5) | 154.1 (-41.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | BRY 78 – 70 WAG |
| Jan 7, 2022 | WAG 84 – 81 BRY |
| Dec 17, 2020 | BRY 81 – 75 WAG |
| Dec 16, 2020 | BRY 74 – 62 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-7 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#223) | 2.6 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#192) | 0.67 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | 0.78 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#135) | 0.541 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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