Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | NEB +600 IOWA -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +10 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -14.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -12.7 (+2.7) | 164.2 (+1.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -12.1 (+2.1) | 164.9 (+1.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -13.2 (+3.2) | 167.6 (-1.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -12.0 (+2.0) | 162.7 (+3.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-12 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#187) | 16.1 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#216) | 2.24 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#185) | 2.95 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#246) | 0.581 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.