Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | MRST -220 MAN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -7.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -4.9 (+13.1) | 140.3 (-10.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -5.8 (+12.2) | 143.7 (-13.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -5.7 (+12.3) | 143.8 (-13.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -5.4 (+12.6) | 142.0 (-12.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MRST 84 – 70 MAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | MRST 80 – 68 MAN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MRST 82 – 75 MAN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MRST 57 – 50 MAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MRST 70 – 56 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#172) | -5.0 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#211) | -0.27 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#203) | -0.59 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#203) | 0.481 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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