Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +105 MRST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -4.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -1.7 (-8.7) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -0.9 (-7.9) | 137.9 (+19.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -1.6 (-8.6) | 138.7 (+18.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -1.6 (-8.6) | 139.5 (+17.5) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MRST 84 – 70 MAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | MRST 80 – 68 MAN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MRST 57 – 50 MAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MRST 70 – 56 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2023 | MRST 61 – 50 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 20-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#268) | -5.3 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#243) | 0.13 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#275) | -0.46 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#260) | 0.494 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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