Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +240 MRST -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +7 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -7.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -7.9 (+0.9) | 134.5 (-27.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -7.5 (+0.5) | 133.1 (-26.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -8.1 (+1.1) | 132.3 (-25.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -7.5 (+0.5) | 133.0 (-26.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MRST 84 – 70 MAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | MRST 80 – 68 MAN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MRST 82 – 75 MAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MRST 70 – 56 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2023 | MRST 61 – 50 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 3-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 62.2 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#338) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#342) | -0.54 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#351) | -0.80 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#316) | 0.476 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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