Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +180 MRST -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -8.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -7.3 (-6.7) | 139.7 (+14.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -6.1 (-7.9) | 136.5 (+17.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -6.9 (-7.1) | 135.3 (+18.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -6.4 (-7.6) | 137.0 (+17.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | MRST 80 – 68 MAN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MRST 82 – 75 MAN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MRST 57 – 50 MAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MRST 70 – 56 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2023 | MRST 61 – 50 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#330) | -0.8 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#290) | -0.32 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#297) | -0.42 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#258) | 0.500 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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