Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +250 MORG -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -5.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -6.9 (-0.1) | 140.9 (+4.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -5.7 (-1.3) | 140.2 (+4.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -5.4 (-1.6) | 139.4 (+5.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -5.9 (-1.1) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 13-15 |
| Conference | 0-14 | 7-6 |
| Home | 2-11 | 8-3 |
| Away | 0-13 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L25 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -19.6 (#358) | -11.3 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.89 (#359) | -1.96 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.26 (#359) | -2.32 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#355) | 0.410 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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