Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LAF -180 LEH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +20 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -2.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -3.1 (-23.1) | 141.4 (-5.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -2.6 (-22.6) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -2.5 (-22.5) | 144.3 (-8.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -2.9 (-22.9) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#312) | -9.0 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#310) | -1.81 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#309) | -2.39 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#293) | 0.419 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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