Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | UND +400 NDSU -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +26 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -9.4 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -9.1 (-16.9) | 145.5 (-13.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -8.4 (-17.6) | 147.5 (-15.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -8.1 (-17.9) | 149.4 (-17.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -8.8 (-17.2) | 148.5 (-16.5) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-11 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#347) | -1.5 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#347) | 0.47 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.54 (#350) | 0.30 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#351) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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