Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | UGA +360 FLA -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +12 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -9.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -8.2 (-3.8) | 144.6 (+11.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -7.2 (-4.8) | 144.8 (+11.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -7.9 (-4.1) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -8.7 (-3.3) | 144.9 (+11.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-13 | 13-5 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#198) | 10.3 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#241) | 1.60 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#230) | 1.84 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#261) | 0.546 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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