Tap turns on the water, see the waters flow. "Tap Turns on the Water" - C.C.S.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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80–39 on winners spread MAE 8.2 119 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Harvard @ Princeton +8.6 145.3 83% 67–74 ✓
UL Monroe @ Georgia Southern +3.2 137.6 62% 75–81 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia State +3.8 141.0 71% 58–65 ✓
Saint Louis @ Richmond +0.5 147.6 60% 66–68 ✓
Niagara @ Rider -0.3 135.6 50% 68–70 ✗
Manhattan @ Marist +5.7 143.8 73% 56–74 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Monmouth +5.2 132.4 70% 70–65 ✗
Canisius @ Iona +15.4 144.4 87% 65–72 ✓
Northwestern @ Penn State +2.0 130.4 62% 60–67 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Little Rock -8.5 139.4 22% 68–55 ✓
UT Arlington @ South Alabama +8.0 136.7 78% 52–62 ✓
App State @ Arkansas State +0.3 132.6 53% 60–62 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska -13.2 167.6 14% 88–78 ✓
Texas State @ Troy -0.2 134.0 46% 66–61 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +18.9 129.8 91% 52–77 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State -1.4 149.6 46% 65–68 ✗
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +4.3 134.2 72% 62–66 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +3.5 137.9 68% 62–66 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern +2.4 134.7 66% 67–54 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Toledo +15.6 155.8 89% 73–88 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -7.9 145.3 24% 84–72 ✓
Duquesne @ Rhode Island +10.0 130.0 85% 54–70 ✓
Butler @ Marquette +11.0 143.6 86% 56–64 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Central Connecticut -2.7 128.4 33% 65–46 ✓
Maine @ UMBC +10.9 146.1 87% 79–93 ✓
North Florida @ Stetson +0.7 140.5 51% 74–69 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +9.6 146.7 83% 93–100 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.1 138.9 47% 69–76 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky -0.6 151.5 46% 58–72 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +2.0 146.6 62% 81–78 ✗
Furman @ The Citadel -6.7 154.7 26% 94–59 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State +5.6 139.0 72% 69–74 ✓
Kentucky @ Arkansas -0.3 152.1 56% 73–75 ✗
Texas @ West Virginia -1.6 136.7 42% 82–81 ✓
Boston University @ Bucknell -6.3 149.8 28% 78–89 ✗
Army @ Holy Cross -2.4 141.6 39% 66–58 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette +2.5 144.3 63% 78–58 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ American University -3.1 131.4 38% 55–65 ✗
Navy @ Colgate +4.7 132.4 76% 69–74 ✓
Merrimack @ St. Francis Brooklyn +1.1 133.2 50% 72–52 ✗
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +1.7 147.0 63% 68–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +11.6 155.2 88% 77–84 ✓
Hampton @ High Point +7.4 136.0 77% 77–88 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State -3.9 154.9 30% 84–74 ✓
Yale @ Cornell -0.3 153.2 45% 65–71 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth +0.3 141.1 50% 70–84 ✓
NJIT @ Hartford +4.4 140.5 72% 62–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +5.2 157.6 73% 66–81 ✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville State +12.4 140.1 87% 52–69 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas State +0.9 136.3 51% 74–73 ✗
Dayton @ La Salle -12.7 135.9 18% 60–62 ✗
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -8.1 149.4 19% 79–53 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +16.7 147.9 90% 67–83 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo +13.3 149.1 86% 60–70 ✓
Fordham @ Davidson +12.7 136.5 87% 45–66 ✓
New Mexico State @ Chicago State -15.1 141.9 13% 59–61 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Miami +2.3 141.7 64% 71–70 ✗
Clemson @ Boston College -1.8 143.6 43% 70–60 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland +2.3 149.9 67% 57–65 ✓
Denver @ Western Illinois +5.9 154.0 75% 83–77 ✗
Seton Hall @ Xavier +3.8 144.7 70% 82–66 ✗
Florida A&M @ Grambling +3.4 134.6 62% 79–73 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +4.1 154.1 74% 64–75 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +0.8 141.4 53% 76–66 ✗
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.0 144.5 75% 62–67 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon State -14.8 144.6 13% 94–55 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Howard +4.3 149.8 73% 67–77 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina +1.7 141.2 66% 59–64 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego -2.9 140.6 38% 76–81 ✗
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +4.1 139.7 66% 50–70 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +7.6 130.3 76% 49–56 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte +2.1 145.6 62% 74–69 ✗
Weber State @ Northern Arizona -6.4 144.5 25% 73–49 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State -4.7 156.6 32% 77–87 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +7.7 136.9 80% 54–63 ✓
Wagner @ Bryant -1.1 155.7 50% 70–78 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate -3.1 140.8 39% 70–72 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +17.4 145.6 89% 86–92 ✓
Florida State @ Virginia +5.7 130.1 69% 64–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +14.1 138.6 88% 61–62 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +6.4 131.9 77% 60–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +3.8 150.4 69% 66–86 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga +10.6 147.2 85% 57–70 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Delaware +4.7 148.6 70% 69–62 ✗
Charleston @ Drexel +2.8 152.3 62% 79–80 ✓
Towson @ James Madison -7.4 144.9 23% 95–59 ✓
Air Force @ New Mexico +6.9 140.0 78% 65–69 ✓
Morehead State @ SIU Edwardsville -7.0 135.0 26% 70–77 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Illinois -7.8 124.9 22% 64–52 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State -5.4 139.4 24% 76–69 ✓
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville +6.2 134.9 77% 96–98 ✓
VCU @ Massachusetts -5.3 144.0 24% 77–62 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -4.8 119.5 22% 67–41 ✓
Murray State @ Southeast Missouri State -13.0 151.3 13% 70–68 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M +1.0 141.2 54% 65–80 ✓
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana -1.6 158.1 56% 81–83 ✗
Incarnate Word @ McNeese +7.1 148.9 73% 69–67 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +3.8 143.3 67% 71–73 ✓
San Francisco @ San Diego -12.3 140.1 16% 78–62 ✓
Portland @ Santa Clara +10.5 155.5 85% 89–102 ✓
Radford @ North Carolina A&T +2.5 133.8 58% 62–53 ✗
Longwood @ Campbell +0.5 135.4 45% 60–55 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +11.1 140.9 85% 56–90 ✓
Missouri State @ Evansville -14.6 138.7 13% 88–79 ✓
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green +7.6 154.6 76% 78–67 ✗
Duke @ Syracuse -4.7 152.7 28% 97–72 ✓
Texas Tech @ TCU -2.9 132.1 38% 66–69 ✗
Wisconsin @ Rutgers -0.5 135.6 48% 66–61 ✓
South Carolina @ Alabama +9.8 156.2 80% 71–90 ✓
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +9.9 143.0 85% 59–63 ✓
Washington State @ Washington -3.4 140.5 41% 70–78 ✗
Columbia @ Brown +11.7 142.8 86% 74–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Northern Iowa -2.2 142.3 41% 96–102 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's -3.9 142.6 31% 54–52 ✓
Tennessee State @ Belmont +16.2 144.8 88% 67–87 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +11.0 136.7 86% 87–84 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +5.0 151.8 72% 79–93 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +0.4 145.2 48% 72–69 ✗
UAlbany @ Stony Brook +2.8 141.5 67% 50–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.