I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–22 on winners spread MAE 9.9 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) +8.5 150.4 82% 83–69 ✗
Temple @ Memphis +9.9 140.8 82% 64–78 ✓
Marshall @ Middle Tennessee +11.9 153.7 86% 65–74 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion -0.9 136.4 45% 51–70 ✗
Florida International @ Charlotte +6.7 147.5 75% 55–64 ✓
Bryant @ St. Francis Brooklyn -1.9 151.2 39% 86–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Sacred Heart -1.0 138.3 41% 65–77 ✗
Merrimack @ Long Island University +4.6 138.4 67% 74–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +0.3 136.4 48% 79–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Winthrop +9.7 150.6 83% 59–89 ✓
Youngstown State @ Wright State +3.9 151.5 65% 71–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +10.1 140.6 82% 64–78 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +6.4 146.9 70% 81–70 ✗
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy +0.0 150.0 49% 67–74 ✓
Omaha @ Western Illinois +11.3 159.6 86% 76–88 ✓
Elon @ Hofstra +12.6 147.6 88% 81–55 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel +5.2 143.9 71% 69–63 ✗
Charleston @ Delaware +3.9 154.5 70% 99–96 ✗
Siena @ Quinnipiac +1.7 142.6 55% 78–71 ✗
Maryland @ Indiana +6.0 139.8 76% 64–74 ✓
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin +5.6 134.5 72% 67–69 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois -8.6 151.0 18% 79–68 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown -3.5 151.1 33% 68–65 ✓
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State +4.7 157.5 72% 69–76 ✓
UAB @ UTSA -12.3 150.4 16% 68–56 ✓
Southern Miss @ North Texas +25.6 128.6 91% 61–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Rice -1.9 154.3 42% 83–79 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona +3.6 134.5 62% 70–66 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +3.2 158.4 69% 85–76 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian +4.1 144.9 72% 68–82 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +2.9 138.5 58% 52–67 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +7.6 142.0 81% 62–75 ✓
Lamar @ Abilene Christian +15.4 146.4 88% 42–77 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -7.0 120.6 19% 66–54 ✓
Green Bay @ UIC +7.1 140.4 77% 77–81 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -2.9 168.2 24% 106–102 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City +2.7 148.7 64% 63–72 ✓
Denver @ St. Thomas +2.4 147.8 58% 91–80 ✗
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -14.1 128.5 14% 82–46 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State -6.5 156.9 25% 80–62 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese -0.0 151.5 46% 65–53 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -4.7 153.8 26% 89–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.5 143.2 74% 86–83 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State +6.5 143.2 76% 43–76 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado +6.6 136.8 74% 82–65 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -0.9 137.8 46% 76–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +4.5 144.0 68% 92–56 ✗
Austin Peay @ SIU Edwardsville +1.4 134.6 59% 68–64 ✗
Montana @ Southern Utah +5.9 148.6 76% 74–82 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana -0.3 159.6 55% 79–84 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -1.1 143.8 50% 71–61 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon -3.6 141.9 39% 63–68 ✗
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -12.9 134.4 14% 60–46 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside +9.8 134.2 84% 57–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State +7.9 144.8 79% 87–103 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -0.5 131.9 47% 64–66 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State -2.8 153.9 41% 75–81 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -0.5 145.7 45% 51–83 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ BYU +12.3 149.0 87% 59–79 ✓
Portland @ Pacific -3.8 145.2 31% 75–69 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine -12.0 159.1 16% 89–73 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -10.2 155.3 16% 97–77 ✓
USC @ Oregon State -12.5 141.4 14% 94–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +10.1 132.0 85% 54–63 ✓
Akron @ Ohio +6.7 135.1 80% 91–83 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.