Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–14 on winners spread MAE 7.8 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Virginia -4.9 130.6 30% 65–61 ✓
Xavier @ Providence +3.3 144.6 67% 92–99 ✓
TCU @ Texas +7.4 132.4 73% 66–75 ✓
James Madison @ Towson +12.1 139.3 88% 65–84 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +7.2 133.3 79% 66–72 ✓
UL Monroe @ Georgia State +7.2 140.6 80% 70–82 ✓
Lafayette @ Boston University +9.0 144.9 83% 60–76 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -10.9 140.6 16% 78–71 ✓
South Florida @ East Carolina +5.2 131.9 73% 60–64 ✓
American University @ Lehigh +3.7 138.7 70% 61–78 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +7.0 126.4 74% 50–52 ✓
Radford @ Longwood +9.9 136.6 83% 66–71 ✓
High Point @ North Carolina A&T +2.2 137.5 56% 78–58 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +4.9 139.8 69% 59–60 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +10.5 134.7 85% 48–68 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton -3.4 131.4 35% 66–68 ✗
Boston College @ NC State +4.7 145.2 70% 69–61 ✗
Syracuse @ Notre Dame +4.3 148.6 71% 69–79 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson -0.7 147.1 43% 69–80 ✗
Vermont @ Binghamton -11.4 138.4 15% 66–49 ✓
Stony Brook @ UMass Lowell +1.8 151.3 57% 50–67 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT -1.4 130.2 38% 83–55 ✓
UMBC @ Hartford +1.1 149.1 57% 92–85 ✗
UAlbany @ Maine -6.0 132.2 23% 72–68 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +4.6 147.8 64% 81–72 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Liberty +8.5 152.8 77% 82–72 ✗
Stetson @ Kennesaw State +7.1 142.7 77% 71–75 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State +9.8 150.0 80% 68–81 ✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville +6.6 128.8 74% 39–71 ✓
Lipscomb @ Bellarmine +7.4 148.5 76% 73–76 ✓
West Virginia @ Iowa State +5.8 132.3 74% 81–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ Troy +4.7 136.3 70% 53–59 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia Southern +0.2 137.5 47% 82–69 ✗
Drake @ Valparaiso -3.9 142.8 31% 71–65 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State -4.2 145.0 32% 88–82 ✓
La Salle @ Fordham +5.2 138.9 75% 54–60 ✓
Massachusetts @ Dayton +13.0 143.6 87% 61–82 ✓
Davidson @ Duquesne -12.7 139.1 15% 74–50 ✓
Wofford @ VMI +0.7 148.0 49% 83–72 ✗
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +9.9 135.6 84% 64–73 ✓
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State -3.4 138.5 34% 83–77 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +5.4 150.8 72% 71–67 ✗
Rutgers @ Michigan +5.9 137.5 72% 62–71 ✓
App State @ Little Rock -7.8 134.9 23% 78–66 ✓
Houston @ Tulane -8.4 143.9 24% 81–67 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +6.1 135.7 75% 69–90 ✓
Tulsa @ SMU +10.7 143.2 86% 61–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Chicago State -14.1 134.8 13% 85–64 ✓
Texas State @ South Alabama +4.2 137.0 67% 55–52 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State +0.7 136.7 56% 74–69 ✗
Bradley @ Missouri State +5.5 141.6 74% 67–83 ✓
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +20.4 134.1 91% 31–82 ✓
Furman @ Samford -3.3 151.6 42% 75–83 ✗
Ole Miss @ Auburn +14.7 149.4 88% 64–77 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall +11.0 136.0 85% 60–66 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +6.9 145.8 80% 66–71 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -2.3 135.2 41% 68–67 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +1.8 142.0 59% 61–75 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech -6.2 133.1 26% 62–58 ✓
Wyoming @ Colorado State +3.9 144.3 74% 55–61 ✓
Washington @ Washington State +9.9 138.2 85% 70–78 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson -12.5 149.0 16% 86–88 ✗
William & Mary @ Northeastern +7.6 134.5 80% 28–62 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.