Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–4 on winners spread MAE 7.9 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Missouri -11.6 133.2 16% 80–61 ✓
Arkansas @ Florida +1.0 137.8 54% 82–74 ✗
Michigan State @ Iowa +5.7 156.0 78% 60–86 ✓
Charleston @ Northeastern -1.8 144.7 46% 83–72 ✓
Siena @ Monmouth +9.0 136.3 79% 59–71 ✓
Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure +7.3 136.8 79% 55–73 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington -4.2 142.0 34% 84–71 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan +1.9 142.9 62% 72–74 ✓
Ball State @ Kent State +10.3 145.6 83% 82–93 ✓
Bowling Green @ Akron +7.5 148.5 78% 68–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) -5.7 159.2 26% 86–84 ✓
Toledo @ Western Michigan -13.9 146.8 14% 92–50 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ohio +15.9 145.9 89% 50–76 ✓
Georgia @ Texas A&M +11.3 144.4 86% 77–91 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +1.6 139.7 60% 69–71 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +9.4 134.4 84% 42–66 ✓
Miami @ Pittsburgh -3.8 137.1 31% 85–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Saint Louis +11.3 145.4 87% 61–72 ✓
Nebraska @ Northwestern +12.2 152.9 87% 65–77 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +12.1 148.2 87% 83–102 ✓
Alabama @ Vanderbilt -1.3 152.2 43% 74–72 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force -8.8 126.4 16% 65–40 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +4.3 125.9 67% 57–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly -0.3 132.7 45% 61–60 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +10.5 154.5 84% 56–81 ✓
UNLV @ Nevada +0.6 145.8 53% 62–54 ✗
Bucknell @ Army +6.2 152.1 77% 60–73 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +4.7 148.4 67% 81–78 ✗
Mississippi State @ South Carolina -0.0 141.3 50% 56–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.