I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–7 on winners spread MAE 9.0 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Ohio State +6.8 137.2 79% 69–80 ✓
Liberty @ Central Arkansas -8.6 153.5 16% 85–66 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +4.0 137.9 68% 61–84 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +7.1 141.4 77% 59–77 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Syracuse +11.1 146.8 83% 73–74 ✓
Florida State @ Boston College -1.1 141.7 42% 55–71 ✗
Coppin State @ Howard +9.0 149.0 82% 86–82 ✗
Louisville @ North Carolina +10.3 150.4 84% 63–70 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland +1.6 134.3 56% 61–67 ✓
Norfolk State @ Morgan State -7.3 145.9 25% 74–85 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M +4.6 130.3 59% 71–63 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central +4.2 138.3 64% 79–66 ✗
Delaware State @ South Carolina State +10.9 137.6 85% 74–79 ✓
West Virginia @ TCU +3.8 133.0 70% 67–77 ✓
Marshall @ Southern Miss -4.1 155.4 33% 74–60 ✓
The Citadel @ Samford +5.4 159.9 76% 74–76 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +10.1 130.2 87% 52–66 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado +10.9 147.0 85% 70–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Drake +10.9 143.7 86% 58–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State -7.9 146.1 22% 59–50 ✓
Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona -5.2 149.4 30% 79–48 ✓
Evansville @ Valparaiso +8.6 134.1 82% 69–74 ✓
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -10.0 137.6 18% 70–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -7.3 151.4 22% 69–64 ✓
Baylor @ Oklahoma State -3.2 143.8 36% 66–64 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +13.4 141.0 88% 52–66 ✓
Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman +0.7 138.7 45% 89–78 ✗
San Francisco @ Pacific -14.0 140.7 14% 104–71 ✓
New Mexico State @ Seattle U +1.5 143.4 56% 68–55 ✗
St. Thomas @ North Dakota -0.9 152.2 35% 84–74 ✓
Yale @ Dartmouth -2.4 135.5 39% 66–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.