Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +320 PV -420 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -8.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -6.8 (+1.8) | 151.4 (-18.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -7.2 (+2.2) | 153.7 (-20.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -7.3 (+2.3) | 151.4 (-18.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -6.6 (+1.6) | 151.1 (-18.1) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PV 72 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PV 70 – 69 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | PV 64 – 56 MVSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PV 74 – 65 MVSU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | MVSU 57 – 51 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 0-11 | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -19.7 (#357) | -8.0 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.77 (#356) | -1.59 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#356) | -1.73 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#357) | 0.447 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.