Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -400 COPP +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -9.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -7.6 (-11.6) | 152.5 (+15.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -9.6 (-13.6) | 148.9 (+19.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -9.0 (-13.0) | 149.0 (+19.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -9.2 (-13.2) | 153.0 (+15.0) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#219) | -9.6 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#257) | -1.99 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#253) | -2.30 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#241) | 0.427 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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