Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -1400 COPP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -14.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -11.1 (-2.1) | 140.1 (+6.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -11.2 (-2.2) | 136.3 (+10.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -11.5 (-2.5) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -10.7 (-1.7) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Jan 30, 2024 | HOW 81 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 1-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 2-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#276) | -17.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#296) | -3.50 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#288) | -3.85 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#291) | 0.337 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.