Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +310 HOW -455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -6.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -7.4 (-7.6) | 135.7 (+11.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -6.4 (-8.6) | 133.7 (+13.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -6.4 (-8.6) | 135.6 (+11.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -7.2 (-7.8) | 137.6 (+9.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 2-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 0-17 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 57.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#360) | -5.7 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.28 (#357) | -1.35 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#353) | -1.54 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#361) | 0.417 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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