Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +900 HOW -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +19 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -15.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -12.5 (-6.5) | 138.7 (-13.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -14.3 (-4.7) | 139.2 (-14.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -13.3 (-5.7) | 142.2 (-17.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -12.7 (-6.3) | 140.3 (-15.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 30, 2024 | HOW 81 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 3-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -24.1 (#364) | -5.6 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#361) | -1.10 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.91 (#363) | -1.34 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#359) | 0.444 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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