Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +280 HOW -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -8.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -7.6 (+18.6) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -7.6 (+18.6) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -7.4 (+18.4) | 143.8 (-10.8) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -6.9 (+17.9) | 143.0 (-10.0) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 30, 2024 | HOW 81 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-17 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -19.0 (#362) | -7.9 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#357) | -1.22 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.00 (#359) | -1.74 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#355) | 0.462 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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