Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -1100 COPP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +15 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -14.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -10.4 (+4.6) | 146.2 (+18.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -10.2 (+4.8) | 144.0 (+21.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -10.4 (+4.6) | 148.4 (+16.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -10.8 (+4.2) | 149.4 (+15.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 30, 2024 | HOW 81 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#278) | -17.5 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#264) | -2.84 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#276) | -3.87 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#251) | 0.381 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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