Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ILST +360 LUC -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +9 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -9.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -9.1 (+0.1) | 142.0 (-33.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -7.5 (-1.5) | 145.8 (-36.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -7.9 (-1.1) | 146.1 (-37.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -9.7 (+0.7) | 144.7 (-35.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2022 | LUC 78 – 64 ILST |
| Dec 29, 2020 | LUC 86 – 55 ILST |
| Dec 27, 2020 | LUC 90 – 60 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-11 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 61.9 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#171) | 11.7 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#256) | 1.65 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#234) | 2.00 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#274) | 0.571 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.