Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -2400 ILST +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +31 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -18.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -14.8 (+16.2) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -14.7 (+16.3) | 149.2 (-8.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -16.3 (+14.7) | 149.0 (-8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -17.2 (+13.8) | 149.4 (-8.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2022 | LUC 59 – 50 ILST |
| Feb 3, 2022 | LUC 78 – 64 ILST |
| Dec 27, 2020 | LUC 90 – 60 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 7-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-0 | 3-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#61) | -6.3 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#111) | -0.90 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#99) | -0.94 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#104) | 0.418 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 84.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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