Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | LUC -1800 ILST +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +30 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -13.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -10.0 (+20.0) | 147.8 (+2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -11.1 (+18.9) | 148.8 (+1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -12.2 (+17.8) | 149.7 (+0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -12.7 (+17.3) | 149.8 (+0.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2022 | LUC 59 – 50 ILST |
| Feb 3, 2022 | LUC 78 – 64 ILST |
| Dec 29, 2020 | LUC 86 – 55 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 7-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-0 | 3-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#87) | -3.8 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#129) | -0.50 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#111) | -0.46 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#102) | 0.440 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 83.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.