Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU -260 AAMU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -6.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -3.5 (-11.5) | 131.3 (+2.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -3.9 (-11.9) | 130.1 (+3.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -4.6 (-12.6) | 130.3 (+3.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -3.4 (-11.4) | 131.1 (+2.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 61.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#311) | -12.8 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#293) | -2.07 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#309) | -2.57 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#276) | 0.415 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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