Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -175 FAMU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -5.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -3.1 (+3.9) | 134.7 (+2.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -3.1 (+3.9) | 136.5 (+0.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -3.7 (+3.3) | 136.1 (+0.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -3.6 (+3.4) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AAMU 73 – 61 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#309) | -11.8 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#274) | -1.13 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#272) | -1.37 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#296) | 0.437 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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