Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU -150 AAMU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +16 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -7.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -7.0 (+9.0) | 146.9 (+27.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -6.9 (+9.1) | 149.6 (+24.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -6.8 (+9.2) | 148.5 (+25.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -6.8 (+9.2) | 148.5 (+25.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AAMU 73 – 61 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#346) | -17.2 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#295) | -3.22 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#316) | -3.75 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#283) | 0.330 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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