Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -150 AAMU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -2.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -0.0 (+18.0) | 139.2 (-5.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -0.2 (+17.8) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -0.6 (+18.6) | 142.3 (-8.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -0.0 (+18.0) | 139.6 (-5.6) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AAMU 73 – 61 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#346) | -12.7 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#340) | -1.65 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#343) | -2.28 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#331) | 0.424 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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