Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -135 AAMU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -0.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -0.0 (-2.0) | 135.9 (-11.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -0.4 (-2.4) | 136.9 (-12.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -1.0 (-1.0) | 139.8 (-15.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -0.4 (-1.6) | 136.6 (-12.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AAMU 73 – 61 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#343) | -10.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#307) | -1.04 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#307) | -1.44 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#319) | 0.446 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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