We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · February 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SCST -9.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money SCST -550 / DSU +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual SCST +5 153 Won
Massey SCST -12.3 (-7.3) — —
Massey Totals — 137.5 (+15.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCST -10.2 (-5.2) 139.9 (+13.1) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCST -10.6 (-5.6) 136.4 (+16.6) 86% ✓
Baseline ML SCST -10.9 (-5.9) 137.6 (+15.4) 85% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCST -10.9 (-5.9) 140.6 (+12.4) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 SCST 61 – 59 DSU
Jan 26, 2026 SCST 70 – 64 DSU
Feb 22, 2025 SCST 94 – 88 DSU
Jan 11, 2025 DSU 76 – 75 SCST
Mar 15, 2024 DSU 71 – 58 SCST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCST DSU
Overall 15-16 2-26
Conference 7-7 0-14
Home 8-5 2-11
Away 5-8 0-13
Neutral 2-3 0-2
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L4 L25
Avg Pts For 69.8 60.6
Avg Pts Against 74.4 75.8
Massey -10.3 (#320) -19.8 (#358)
Bradley-Terry -1.34 (#287) -4.91 (#359)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.03 (#303) -6.27 (#359)
RPI 0.426 (#307) 0.356 (#354)
Shooting & Four Factors SCST DSU
FG% 38.6% 39.5%
3PT% 30.6% 31.8%
REB / G 40.1 33.8
OREB / G 14.0 9.8
AST / TO 0.76 0.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.4% 44.5%
TOV% 20.3% 25.9%
ORB% 32.7% 27.7%
FT Rate 22.3% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.7% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 19.1%
DRB% 71.0% 64.2%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 22.3%

Game Analysis

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