Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
South Carolina State Bulldogs
58 71
FINAL Neutral Conference MEAC
Delaware State Hornets
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Norfolk Scope Arena (Neutral) · March 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCST -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money SCST -154 / DSU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual DSU +13 129 Lost
Massey DSU -0.3 (-12.7)
Massey Totals 140.8 (-11.8)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 56%
Baseline Plus ML DSU -0.1 (-12.9) 138.0 (-9.0) 53%
Model 4 ML SCST -1.6 (-14.6) 135.4 (-6.4) 57%
Model 3 ML SCST -0.4 (-13.4) 136.6 (-7.6) 54%
Baseline ML DSU -0.1 (-12.9) 137.3 (-8.3) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 SCST 6159 DSU
Jan 26, 2026 SCST 7064 DSU
Feb 22, 2025 SCST 9488 DSU
Jan 11, 2025 DSU 7675 SCST
Feb 24, 2024 SCST 6962 DSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCST DSU
Overall 14-18 15-19
Conference 9-5 6-8
Home 9-4 7-5
Away 5-13 4-11
Neutral 0-1 4-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 69.3 68.4
Avg Pts Against 75.0 71.4
Massey -8.9 (#312) -8.6 (#306)
Bradley-Terry -1.11 (#285) -1.49 (#308)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.33 (#284) -1.57 (#297)
RPI 0.464 (#257) 0.432 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors SCST DSU
FG% 40.9% 42.3%
3PT% 32.1% 31.7%
REB / G 36.7 32.9
OREB / G 14.6 10.7
AST / TO 0.88 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 46.3%
TOV% 21.0% 21.0%
ORB% 37.9% 32.3%
FT Rate 24.9% 27.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 21.3%
DRB% 69.7% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 35.6% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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