Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
South Carolina State Bulldogs
58 – 71
FINAL Neutral Conference MEAC
Delaware State Hornets
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Norfolk Scope Arena (Neutral) · March 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCST -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money SCST -154 / DSU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual DSU +13 129 Lost
Massey DSU -0.3 (-12.7) — —
Massey Totals — 140.8 (-11.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SCST -0.5 (-13.5) 138.1 (-9.1) 54% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCST -0.9 (-13.9) 136.5 (-7.5) 55% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SCST -0.5 (-13.5) 139.2 (-10.2) 53% ✗
Baseline ML SCST -0.2 (-13.2) 138.1 (-9.1) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 SCST 61 – 59 DSU
Jan 26, 2026 SCST 70 – 64 DSU
Feb 22, 2025 SCST 94 – 88 DSU
Jan 11, 2025 DSU 76 – 75 SCST
Feb 24, 2024 SCST 69 – 62 DSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCST DSU
Overall 14-18 15-19
Conference 9-5 6-8
Home 9-4 7-5
Away 5-13 4-11
Neutral 0-1 4-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 69.3 68.4
Avg Pts Against 75.0 71.4
Massey -8.9 (#312) -8.6 (#306)
Bradley-Terry -1.11 (#285) -1.49 (#308)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.33 (#284) -1.57 (#297)
RPI 0.464 (#257) 0.432 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors SCST DSU
FG% 40.9% 42.3%
3PT% 32.1% 31.7%
REB / G 36.7 32.9
OREB / G 14.6 10.7
AST / TO 0.88 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 46.3%
TOV% 21.0% 21.0%
ORB% 37.9% 32.3%
FT Rate 24.9% 27.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 21.3%
DRB% 69.7% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 35.6% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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