Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +175 SCST -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +6 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -2.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+34.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -1.9 (-4.1) | 146.4 (+35.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -2.8 (-3.2) | 147.0 (+35.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -1.9 (-4.1) | 148.8 (+33.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -1.6 (-4.4) | 148.4 (+33.6) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SCST 61 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 26, 2026 | SCST 70 – 64 DSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DSU 76 – 75 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2024 | DSU 71 – 58 SCST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SCST 69 – 62 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#287) | -1.9 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#277) | -1.11 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#299) | -1.18 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#285) | 0.453 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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