Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | DSU -166 SCST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | DSU -2.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -0.5 (-2.5) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -0.4 (-1.6) | 132.3 (-12.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -1.4 (-3.4) | 132.3 (-12.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -0.4 (-2.4) | 131.0 (-11.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2026 | SCST 70 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SCST 94 – 88 DSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DSU 76 – 75 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2024 | DSU 71 – 58 SCST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SCST 69 – 62 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -19.5 (#361) | -19.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.44 (#361) | -2.92 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.34 (#362) | -3.91 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#362) | 0.388 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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