Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -125 DSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -1.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -0.4 (+6.4) | 130.8 (+3.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -1.4 (+4.6) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -0.2 (+5.8) | 130.8 (+3.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -0.4 (+6.4) | 126.4 (+7.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SCST 61 – 59 DSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SCST 94 – 88 DSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DSU 76 – 75 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2024 | DSU 71 – 58 SCST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SCST 69 – 62 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 2-12 |
| Home | 6-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-16 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -19.8 (#362) | -17.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#355) | -3.34 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.62 (#359) | -3.84 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#355) | 0.360 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 60.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.6% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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