Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -120 DSU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -2.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -1.8 (+5.2) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -2.2 (+4.8) | 138.9 (-7.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -1.1 (+5.9) | 141.1 (-10.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -1.3 (+5.7) | 138.2 (-7.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SCST 61 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 26, 2026 | SCST 70 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SCST 94 – 88 DSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DSU 76 – 75 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2024 | DSU 71 – 58 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#315) | -7.9 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#297) | -1.38 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#295) | -1.38 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#297) | 0.432 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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