This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · February 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCST -2.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SCST -120 / DSU +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual SCST +7 131 Won
Massey SCST -2.0 (+5.0)
Massey Totals 144.2 (-13.2)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 62%
Baseline Plus ML SCST -1.1 (+5.9) 141.1 (-10.1) 60%
Model 4 ML SCST -2.2 (+4.8) 138.9 (-7.9) 67%
Model 3 ML SCST -1.8 (+5.2) 138.5 (-7.5) 61%
Baseline ML SCST -1.3 (+5.7) 138.2 (-7.2) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 SCST 6159 DSU
Jan 26, 2026 SCST 7064 DSU
Feb 22, 2025 SCST 9488 DSU
Jan 11, 2025 DSU 7675 SCST
Mar 15, 2024 DSU 7158 SCST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCST DSU
Overall 14-18 15-19
Conference 9-5 6-8
Home 9-4 7-5
Away 5-13 4-11
Neutral 0-1 4-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 69.3 68.4
Avg Pts Against 75.0 71.4
Massey -9.3 (#315) -7.9 (#300)
Bradley-Terry -1.33 (#297) -1.38 (#301)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.58 (#295) -1.38 (#286)
RPI 0.436 (#297) 0.432 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors SCST DSU
FG% 41.0% 41.8%
3PT% 32.0% 29.3%
REB / G 36.6 33.7
OREB / G 14.0 10.8
AST / TO 0.87 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 45.3%
TOV% 20.5% 21.0%
ORB% 36.4% 32.6%
FT Rate 25.6% 26.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.3% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 21.4%
DRB% 70.0% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 36.6% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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