Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | TCU -190 WVU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -3.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -3.1 (+6.9) | 133.0 (+11.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.9 (+6.1) | 132.3 (+11.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.8 (+6.2) | 133.0 (+11.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -4.0 (+6.0) | 133.4 (+10.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#56) | 8.3 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#41) | 1.67 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#39) | 2.13 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#86) | 0.549 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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