Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -700 INST +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -11.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -11.3 (+4.7) | 141.3 (-9.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -11.2 (+4.8) | 143.3 (-11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -10.9 (+5.1) | 143.7 (-11.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -11.9 (+4.1) | 143.8 (-11.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 62 INST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | DRKE 74 – 72 INST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DRKE 85 – 81 INST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DRKE 71 – 53 INST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 80 INST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#86) | -2.3 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#119) | -0.96 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#117) | -1.06 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#130) | 0.455 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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