Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -130 ALST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALST +11 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -0.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -2.1 (-13.1) | 136.6 (+30.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -1.1 (-12.1) | 136.9 (+30.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.7 (-11.7) | 138.7 (+28.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -0.9 (-11.9) | 136.8 (+30.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | BCU 82 – 71 ALST |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BCU 69 – 54 ALST |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BCU 70 – 68 ALST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BCU 67 – 64 ALST |
| Feb 27, 2024 | BCU 90 – 84 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#334) | -10.1 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#337) | -2.62 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#337) | -3.03 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#347) | 0.400 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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