Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UAPB +350 TXSO -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -12.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -11.1 (+9.1) | 135.6 (+2.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -10.9 (+8.9) | 136.0 (+2.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -10.0 (+8.0) | 137.6 (+0.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -10.1 (+8.1) | 137.8 (+0.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TXSO 83 – 64 UAPB |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UAPB 74 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 25, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 56 UAPB |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAPB 69 – 68 TXSO |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-2 |
| Away | 2-17 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -16.5 (#355) | -0.9 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#349) | -0.47 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#351) | -0.55 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#335) | 0.487 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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