Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +5 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -2.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -1.0 (-4.0) | 135.2 (-8.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -2.4 (-2.6) | 134.7 (-7.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -2.4 (-2.6) | 135.5 (-8.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -2.3 (-2.7) | 137.0 (-10.0) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#233) | 1.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#284) | 0.38 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#258) | 0.44 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#289) | 0.545 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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