Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BC +105 FSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +16 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -2.2 (+18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -1.1 (+17.1) | 140.6 (-14.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -1.6 (+17.6) | 136.9 (-10.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -1.0 (+17.0) | 140.4 (-14.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -1.1 (+17.1) | 141.7 (-15.7) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | FSU 80 – 72 BC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BC 77 – 76 FSU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | FSU 84 – 76 BC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | FSU 63 – 62 BC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | BC 75 – 69 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | 5.7 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#206) | 1.08 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#193) | 0.99 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#270) | 0.535 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.