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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 5.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+0.9 | 137.3 | 53% | 82–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.9 | 134.2 | 77% | 60–62 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.8 | 135.4 | 35% | 58–56 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.4 | 140.8 | 89% | 49–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.