Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +650 SF -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +33 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -15.4 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+40.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -13.4 (-19.6) | 140.5 (+34.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -14.7 (-18.3) | 137.5 (+37.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -14.0 (-19.0) | 140.7 (+34.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -12.9 (-20.1) | 141.5 (+33.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SF 72 – 61 PAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SF 87 – 82 PAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SF 71 – 58 PAC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SF 89 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | SF 79 – 73 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 67.5 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#272) | 12.0 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#282) | 2.02 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#285) | 2.91 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#312) | 0.595 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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