Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | USM +210 MRSH -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +14 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -5.6 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -4.4 (-9.6) | 155.2 (-21.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -6.5 (-7.5) | 151.0 (-17.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -4.2 (-9.8) | 153.6 (-19.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -4.1 (-9.9) | 155.4 (-21.4) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 77 USM |
| Dec 21, 2024 | USM 68 – 66 MRSH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MRSH 83 – 67 USM |
| Jan 13, 2023 | MRSH 89 – 67 USM |
Game Analysis
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