Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -1100 IDST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -14.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -9.7 (-2.7) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -11.1 (-4.1) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -10.9 (-3.9) | 147.0 (+0.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -10.9 (-3.9) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#206) | -13.3 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#182) | -2.27 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#191) | -2.31 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#139) | 0.376 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.