Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -420 EIU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -12.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -10.0 (+4.0) | 129.5 (-11.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -10.8 (+3.2) | 129.4 (-11.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -10.1 (+3.9) | 130.2 (-12.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -10.1 (+3.9) | 131.6 (-13.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#293) | -17.3 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#317) | -3.07 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#323) | -3.61 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#310) | 0.354 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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