But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
40–19 on winners spread MAE 8.1 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ Cincinnati +11.2 133.5 84% 56–54 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +11.9 149.5 87% 72–77 ✓
Florida International @ Old Dominion +6.0 133.3 73% 63–83 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee +5.2 147.6 72% 52–69 ✓
Louisville @ Wake Forest +10.2 143.3 84% 77–99 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky +4.1 141.6 71% 61–75 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +10.1 151.2 85% 61–71 ✓
VMI @ Western Carolina -4.0 157.0 38% 73–82 ✗
Mercer @ Wofford +7.6 136.8 78% 67–74 ✓
Kent State @ Central Michigan -8.4 140.7 17% 73–71 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +6.2 142.2 78% 77–90 ✓
Arizona @ Colorado -8.2 152.5 24% 63–79 ✗
Kansas @ Baylor +4.3 155.2 69% 70–80 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside +1.0 135.4 56% 97–90 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis +8.3 139.5 81% 49–68 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Colorado +10.3 162.5 87% 94–98 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian -3.2 147.7 38% 75–70 ✓
Sam Houston @ Grand Canyon +7.4 133.6 78% 41–67 ✓
Lamar @ Tarleton State +13.1 131.3 87% 49–57 ✓
Pepperdine @ BYU +17.2 152.7 90% 59–75 ✓
Milwaukee @ UIC +4.7 143.7 71% 58–71 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +10.1 137.3 82% 55–79 ✓
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts +5.4 158.0 72% 92–87 ✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City -5.5 156.3 26% 86–75 ✓
Omaha @ St. Thomas +6.7 156.2 78% 74–95 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming +10.1 145.2 83% 61–74 ✓
Creighton @ Providence +6.2 143.8 76% 51–72 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +6.4 126.8 68% 66–81 ✓
Stanford @ California +0.9 130.5 48% 39–53 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +3.5 146.5 68% 75–88 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +15.9 135.9 90% 55–75 ✓
UAB @ UTEP -5.1 141.3 31% 69–66 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -6.6 143.4 26% 73–65 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -4.5 141.2 35% 57–67 ✗
USC @ Oregon +1.2 144.2 55% 70–69 ✗
Arizona State @ Utah +1.7 139.5 57% 63–61 ✗
Idaho State @ Portland State +6.4 141.4 77% 69–73 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State -4.0 144.1 34% 75–81 ✗
Boise State @ UNLV +0.7 132.6 54% 86–76 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +1.7 145.3 61% 66–55 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +5.3 139.4 71% 72–77 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +7.1 132.7 80% 50–62 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -11.4 146.9 14% 86–77 ✓
Princeton @ Harvard -4.8 143.2 30% 74–73 ✓
SMU @ Houston +11.4 143.0 86% 61–75 ✓
Canisius @ Quinnipiac +3.1 145.1 60% 72–67 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan +1.1 145.8 57% 93–85 ✗
Fairfield @ Manhattan +0.7 142.6 56% 66–62 ✗
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +4.2 131.0 68% 36–63 ✓
Monmouth @ Siena -2.2 135.6 42% 59–70 ✗
Iona @ Rider -7.6 140.1 21% 67–61 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +6.8 144.4 78% 57–81 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +9.6 140.3 82% 62–69 ✓
Tulane @ Temple +1.6 142.9 60% 70–75 ✓
Ohio State @ Maryland -2.9 145.9 43% 60–75 ✗
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +2.9 135.4 63% 73–69 ✗
St. John's @ DePaul -0.0 153.3 51% 94–99 ✗
Montana State @ Montana -2.0 144.4 41% 74–80 ✗
Indiana @ Minnesota -1.0 134.6 46% 84–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.