Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | WCU +160 VMI -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -6.1 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -4.7 (+13.7) | 157.9 (-2.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -3.7 (+12.7) | 156.5 (-1.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -4.0 (+13.0) | 157.0 (-2.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -4.1 (+13.1) | 155.5 (-0.5) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#299) | 0.6 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#244) | 0.22 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#247) | 0.40 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#273) | 0.517 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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