Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV +105 BOIS -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -1.9 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -1.3 (-8.7) | 130.6 (+31.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -0.4 (-10.4) | 131.2 (+30.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -0.7 (-10.7) | 132.6 (+29.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -0.4 (-10.4) | 131.8 (+30.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#90) | 11.2 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#78) | 2.33 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#71) | 2.67 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#73) | 0.594 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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